IONQ 1-day forecast by Gemini 1.5 Pro
Gemini 1.5 Pro's 1-day forecast for IONQ, made 2026-09-03: expected range $36.00 to $39.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $39.05: direction called incorrectly, score 10.9.
| Asset | IONQ |
|---|---|
| Model | Gemini 1.5 Pro |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $37.66 |
| Price the model reported | $37.64 |
| Expected range | $36.00 to $39.00 |
| Confidence | 60% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $39.05 |
| Traded range in the window | $37.84 to $39.78 |
| Result | Direction called incorrectly |
| Score | 10.9 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) Data sourced from financial platforms like Google Finance and MarketChameleon indicates that IONQ closed the regular trading session on Wednesday, September 2, 2026, at $37.64. The stock slipped 0.37% on the day with trading volume reaching approximately 13.3 million shares.
(2) The current market regime is characterized by a persistent technical downtrend despite the company's strong fundamental top-line growth (recently reporting 287% YoY revenue growth). The stock has shed roughly 19% since its earnings announcement a couple of weeks ago and remains trapped below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, signaling sustained institutional distribution.
(3) The price range of $36.00-$39.00 accounts for the asset's extreme volatility, which is currently running at an annualized rate of 89%. The downside bound allows for a test of the structural $36 support level if selling resumes, while the upside target permits a modest technical relief bounce toward the resistance established earlier in the week.
(4) Inside this 24-hour window, the stock will primarily trade on macroeconomic beta and technical flows ahead of Friday's broader market Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. There are no immediate company-specific catalysts scheduled for Thursday, as IONQ's highly anticipated Investor Day is slated for September 8, 2026.
(5) The strongest counter-argument to a choppy, directionless session is the stock's approaching oversold condition. With the 14-day RSI sitting at 42.2 and shares down 55% from their peak, an unexpected influx of speculative dip-buyers could trigger a sudden short-covering rally that swiftly invalidates the near-term bearish bias and pushes past $39.00.
(6) My confidence is 60%. While the technical momentum clearly favors the bears, predicting a one-day directional move for a speculative, high-beta stock in a volatile pre-NFP macroeconomic environment is highly susceptible to erratic, news-driven whiplash.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Luna | $35.00 to $40.50 | 76% | Direction called correctly | 81.7 |
| Grok 4.5 | $35.50 to $40.00 | 40% | Direction called correctly | 78.4 |
| DeepSeek-R1 | $35.10 to $39.80 | 42% | Direction called incorrectly | 30.8 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $35.10 to $40.10 | 44% | Direction called incorrectly | 30.2 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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