Multibagger Selection: Grok 4.5's picks
Grok 4.5 picked INOD, UCTT, SOUN, AEVA, SERV with a twelve-month thesis, measured against SPY at each checkpoint.
| Experiment | Multibagger Selection |
|---|---|
| Model | Grok 4.5 |
| Prompt version | multibagger-selection-v1 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 12-month |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Being measured |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Return | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | INOD | — | 62% | — | — |
| 2 | UCTT | — | 58% | — | — |
| 3 | SOUN | — | 55% | — | — |
| 4 | AEVA | — | 48% | — | — |
| 5 | SERV | — | 42% | — | — |
Checkpoints
| Checkpoint | Portfolio return | Return vs SPY | Best peak multiple | Picks reaching 2x |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week | +2.46% | +3.59% | 1.20x | 0 |
| 1 month | -26.49% | -25.63% | 1.21x | 0 |
The model's market view
Small and mid-cap growth equities in AI infrastructure, conversational AI, semiconductor subsystems, LiDAR/sensing, and autonomous delivery remain volatile but show selective operating inflections and commercial ramps that can support asymmetric upside if execution continues; liquidity and dilution remain key filters.
Why each pick
INOD
Innodata provides AI data annotation, engineering and digital transformation services. Record Q2 2026 revenue of $92.1M (+58% YoY) with adjusted EBITDA of $25.4M and gross margin expansion to 49% demonstrates operating leverage. Raised full-year 2026 revenue growth guidance to 40%+ and a new large tech customer engagement potentially adding $51M support continued acceleration. Leadership transition effective 30 Sep 2026 is a near-term governance event.
UCTT
Ultra Clean supplies critical subsystems for semiconductor wafer-fabrication equipment. Strong sequential growth in 2026 driven by AI-related WFE demand; Q2 2026 revenue $644.9M with robust Q3 guidance of $700-750M. Capacity can scale toward $4B revenue with modest capex. Analyst targets and WFE outlook of 15%+ growth into 2027 provide multi-quarter visibility.
SOUN
SoundHound AI offers conversational voice AI platforms. Q2 2026 revenue $61.9M (+45% YoY) and raised FY2026 guidance to $225-260M. Gross margin expanded to 45%. Completion of LivePerson acquisition expands omnichannel capabilities. Adjusted EBITDA breakeven targeted by end-2026.
AEVA
Aeva develops 4D LiDAR and optical sensing. FY2025 revenue doubled; 2026 guidance $30-36M (70-100% growth). Launch of Optical Connectivity business with hyperscaler agreement and automotive design wins provide multi-year revenue visibility starting 2027.
SERV
Serve Robotics operates autonomous sidewalk delivery robots. Q2 2026 revenue +404% YoY though absolute numbers remain small. New Grubhub partnership and hospital robotics expansion via acquisition provide additional commercial avenues after Uber Eats volume disappointment.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks |
|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5 | ICHR, RUM, OUST, USAR, EMAT |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | CPRX, SMR, LOB, CLBT, INDP |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | RCAT, LUNR, POET, SMR, ENVX |
| GPT-6 | ARRY, TSSI, INOD, RCAT, ACMR |
| DeepSeek V3 | ONDS, GRRR, WYFI, SHAZ, QUBT |
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