Multibagger Selection: Gemini 1.5 Pro's picks
Gemini 1.5 Pro picked ASTS, LUNR, RXRX, ACHR, IONQ with a twelve-month thesis, measured against SPY at each checkpoint.
| Experiment | Multibagger Selection |
|---|---|
| Model | Gemini 1.5 Pro |
| Prompt version | multibagger-selection-v1 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 12-month |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Being measured |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Return | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASTS | — | 75% | — | — |
| 2 | LUNR | — | 70% | — | — |
| 3 | RXRX | — | 65% | — | — |
| 4 | ACHR | — | 65% | — | — |
| 5 | IONQ | — | 60% | — | — |
Checkpoints
| Checkpoint | Portfolio return | Return vs SPY | Best peak multiple | Picks reaching 2x |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week | -3.21% | -3.27% | 1.16x | 0 |
The model's market view
The small and mid-cap segment in late 2026 exhibits selective appetite for companies demonstrating definitive operational inflections, expanding gross margins, and clear paths to positive free cash flow amidst moderating macroeconomic interest rates. Investors remain highly disciplined regarding balance sheet liquidity and runway, heavily rewarding businesses that clear cash burn hurdles while punishing dilution-heavy structures.
Why each pick
ASTS
AST SpaceMobile is building the first space-based cellular broadband network accessible directly by standard mobile devices. With successful orbital validation of its BlueBird satellites and key commercial agreements with major telecom operators like AT&T and Verizon, the company is transitioning from a capital-intensive development phase to commercial service launch and revenue generation.
LUNR
Intuitive Machines is a premier space exploration and infrastructure company executing lunar delivery missions for NASA and commercial customers. Following successful lunar landing milestones and expanding contract awards under NASA's CLPS program, the company exhibits strong revenue acceleration and a growing backlog.
RXRX
Recursion Pharmaceuticals is a clinical-stage TechBio company industrializing drug discovery by integrating proprietary automated biology laboratories with advanced machine learning algorithms. Strategic partnerships with major pharmaceutical players validate its platform and provide non-dilutive capital.
ACHR
Archer Aviation is designing and developing electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft intended for urban air mobility networks. Backed by strategic investments from major airlines like United Airlines, Archer is progressing through FAA certification milestones and manufacturing facility development.
IONQ
IonQ is a leader in trapped-ion quantum computing, providing cloud-accessible quantum systems and advancing hardware performance measured by algorithmic qubits. Expanding commercial partnerships and government contracts position it to capture early-mover advantage in enterprise quantum workloads.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks |
|---|---|
| Muse Spark 1.1 | EOSE, CAPR, SERV, AMPL, SOUN |
| Grok 4.5 | INOD, NRIX, BBAI, IVA, CALX |
| GPT-6 | BKSY, AMPX, INOD, RDW, EOSE |
| DeepSeek | UMAC, ONDS, RCAT, INOD, MPTI |
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