Multibagger Selection: Grok 4's picks
Grok 4 picked CAPR, INOD, SOUN, ACHR, RCAT with a twelve-month thesis, measured against SPY at each checkpoint.
| Experiment | Multibagger Selection |
|---|---|
| Model | Grok 4 |
| Prompt version | multibagger-selection-v1 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 12-month |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Being measured |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Return | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAPR | — | 68% | — | — |
| 2 | INOD | — | 72% | — | — |
| 3 | SOUN | — | 65% | — | — |
| 4 | ACHR | — | 58% | — | — |
| 5 | RCAT | — | 62% | — | — |
Checkpoints
| Checkpoint | Portfolio return | Return vs SPY | Best peak multiple | Picks reaching 2x |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week | -1.81% | -2.46% | 1.30x | 0 |
The model's market view
Small and mid-cap growth names in AI data services, voice AI, cell therapy, advanced aerospace and defense drones continue to offer asymmetric upside where specific regulatory, commercial or contract milestones in the next 12 months can re-rate valuations, provided balance sheets support runway through catalysts.
Why each pick
CAPR
Capricor is a clinical-stage cell-therapy company with a resubmitted BLA for Deramiocel in Duchenne muscular dystrophy now under active FDA review. Positive resolution of the November 2026 PDUFA would convert a pre-revenue asset into a commercial product with substantial peak-sales potential in a rare-disease market, creating valuation asymmetry relative to the current sub-$600 million capitalization.
INOD
Innodata provides high-quality data engineering, annotation and evaluation services to major AI model developers. Accelerating revenue from hyperscaler customers and new platform offerings create operating leverage; continued AI training and agentic-AI demand can drive further multiple expansion from the current mid-cap base.
SOUN
SoundHound AI delivers conversational voice AI platforms across automotive, enterprise and other verticals. Sustained double-digit to triple-digit revenue growth and expanding gross margins position the company for operating leverage as enterprise adoption accelerates.
ACHR
Archer Aviation is developing eVTOL aircraft and is acquiring Boeing subsidiaries including Insitu (profitable drone business with >$200 million revenue). Closing the Boeing transaction by end-2026 would add immediate revenue and defense exposure while advancing FAA certification.
RCAT
Red Cat Holdings manufactures American-made small unmanned aircraft systems for defense and commercial markets. Explosive revenue growth from U.S. Army and Air Force contracts, combined with 2026 guidance of $150-180 million, positions the company for operating leverage and potential re-rating as production scales and additional programs convert.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks |
|---|---|
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | MGNI, IONQ, RXRX, LUNR, ACHR |
| Perplexity | LWLG, SATL, ARTV, KOD, TYGO |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | CAPR, EOSE, QMCO, KOD, ETON |
| DeepSeek | ECX, NTWK, AKAM, SRRK, ELVA |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | EXTR, TLS, EVLV, SOUN, BBAI |
| GPT-6 | BKSY, AMPX, ENVX, RCAT, LUNR |
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