Multibagger Selection: Muse Spark 1.1's picks
Muse Spark 1.1 picked EOSE, LUNR, SOUN, TMC, LAC with a twelve-month thesis, measured against SPY at each checkpoint.
| Experiment | Multibagger Selection |
|---|---|
| Model | Muse Spark 1.1 |
| Prompt version | multibagger-selection-v1 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 12-month |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Being measured |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Return | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EOSE | — | 68% | — | — |
| 2 | LUNR | — | 65% | — | — |
| 3 | SOUN | — | 62% | — | — |
| 4 | TMC | — | 58% | — | — |
| 5 | LAC | — | 60% | — | — |
Checkpoints
| Checkpoint | Portfolio return | Return vs SPY | Best peak multiple | Picks reaching 2x |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week | -12.88% | -11.70% | 1.02x | 0 |
The model's market view
Small-cap market in Q4 2026 is bifurcated: large-cap AI names are stretched while domestic industrial, energy-storage, space and critical-minerals names trade at multi-year lows with high short interest and high beta. Fed rate-cut expectations, DOE loan disbursements, NASA CLPS schedule and Thacker Pass construction create verifiable near-term catalysts that can drive extreme upside if execution occurs. Volatility is high, favoring companies with funded production ramps.
Why each pick
EOSE
Eos Energy Enterprises is a zinc-based long-duration storage manufacturer trading near 52-week low. Line 2 at Thorn Hill entered commercial production in June 2026 and is ramping toward 2 GWh, with total draws of about $178M under DOE loan facility already funded. Recent $87M advance reimburses 80% of eligible costs. Flagship validation from Dominion and MN8-Google data center reference provides demand catalyst beyond DOE funding.
LUNR
Intuitive Machines is the only US company to soft-land on Moon (IM-1 2024). IM-2 partial failure in 2025 reset valuation. Backlog includes $148.3M firm-fixed-price NASA CLPS contract for production-line Nova-C lander no later than 2028 and $4.82B in NASA contracts cited. IM-3 scheduled for 2026 is pivotal redemption mission.
SOUN
SoundHound AI is voice AI platform with automotive and restaurant verticals. OASYS Orchestrated Agent System launched May 2026 enabling agentic AI creation in minutes, translating to 8-figure commitment within 90 days of demo. 2026 revenue guidance raised to $230-260M implying 43.5% YoY at midpoint, with path to near break-even EBITDA by year-end 2026 guided.
TMC
The Metals Company holds ISA exploration contract for polymetallic nodules in Clarion Clipperton Zone with 619M tonnes wet nodules cited. NOAA determined TMC USA consolidated application in full compliance under DSHMRA, advancing to certification and Federal Register posting. Market cap $1.48B reflects pre-revenue status but first-of-kind US critical minerals angle.
LAC
Lithium Americas owns 100% of Thacker Pass, largest lithium resource in US, targeting 80k tpa battery-grade lithium carbonate in two phases of 40k each. Phase 1 production expected second half of 2026 per company and GM joint development agreement. GM invested $650M for 9.999% stake and offtake.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks |
|---|---|
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | LUNR, SOUN, ENVX, ACHR, SMR |
| Grok 4.5 | INOD, NRIX, IVA, AAPG, BBAI |
| Perplexity | MAZE, EVER, PGY, PENG, SOUN |
| DeepSeek | INOD, AEHR, ASYS, BBAI, HTFL |
| GPT-6 | TSSI, INOD, SEDG, AMPX, LUNR |
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