Extreme Movers: Muse Spark 1.1's picks for 2026-10-02
Muse Spark 1.1 picked ACN, SNPS, COHR, LITE, AVGO for a 1-day horizon. Average directional return: -0.18%. Directions called correctly: 60%.
| Experiment | Extreme Movers |
|---|---|
| Model | Muse Spark 1.1 |
| Prompt version | extreme-movers-v11 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-10-02 |
| Measured to | 2026-10-05 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Average directional return | -0.18% |
| Directions called correctly | 60% |
| Benchmark return | +0.00% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Direction | Price change | Return in the called direction | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACN | up | -3.65% | -3.65% | 78% | -3.65% | No |
| 2 | SNPS | up | +0.87% | +0.87% | 72% | +0.86% | Yes |
| 3 | COHR | up | -0.47% | -0.47% | 70% | -0.47% | No |
| 4 | LITE | up | +0.98% | +0.98% | 68% | +0.98% | Yes |
| 5 | AVGO | up | +1.37% | +1.37% | 60% | +1.36% | Yes |
The model's market view
US equities closed October 1 modestly higher with S&P 500 +0.19% to 7666.45 as 10-year yield eased to 5.24%, but breadth remained narrow and AI infrastructure remained the dominant driver. Earnings were the main source of extreme moves, with Accenture posting best day as public company, while Nike and Broadcom pressured on financing concerns. Next session direction likely dominated by payrolls and yield follow-through, favoring continuation in AI optics and software names that beat.
Why each pick
ACN
Rank 1 large-cap gainer on Oct 1 source session. Closed $212.30 up +15.78% after Q4 revenue beat, record $22.2B bookings and FY27 guidance. Intellectia mover table shows +15.78% and $129.98B market cap. Catalyst is substantive earnings-driven, not speculative. Finnhub quote shows previous close 212.30 and current intraday 201.24 on Oct 2 indicating early profit taking, but thesis is continuation up as AI deal momentum and analyst upgrades support. Price used is latest intraday available at time of answer from Finnhub, data_date 2026-10-02. Market cap 129.9B verified from ad-hoc-news and stockanalysis.
SNPS
Rank 2 large-cap gainer Oct 1. Closed $490.54 up +12.78% per Intellectia movers and +9.33% intraday surge story. Catalyst is substantive: Investor Day Sep 30 announcing multi-year deals with OpenAI and 【entity-AWS¦canonical_name=AWS】 to develop AI model for chip design and raising FY27 revenue target to $11.15B vs Street $9.7B. Source is Fool article Why Synopsys Stock Soared. Finnhub current price 489.67 vs previous close 490.54 indicates flat open Oct 2. Continuation up expected as AI EDA demand remains supply-constrained. Market cap 94.01B verified via stockanalysis Oct 1 close.
COHR
Rank 3 gainer Oct 1. Closed $319.19 up +10.90% per Yahoo Finance and MarketMinute history. Catalyst is substantive AI infrastructure: Coherent extended AI run as Wall Street turned bullish, showcasing high-beta optics leverage to data-center laser demand. Historical price table confirms Oct 1 close 319.19 with volume 11,410,585. Finnhub current price 332.65 shows continuation into Oct 2. Market cap ~62.51B per Intellectia and WallStreetZen. 20-day average dollar volume well above $20M threshold given >5M shares daily at $300 price = >$1.5B.
LITE
Rank 4 gainer Oct 1. Closed $1045.78 up +7.67% per stockinvest and MarketBeat. Catalyst is substantive: Lumentum showcased AI laser technologies at OCP Summit driving 35% above-average volume 7.46M shares. Finnhub current price 1075.5 vs previous close 1045.78 confirms up gap Oct 2. Market cap 87.10B per Finnhub. Price >= $5 and dollar volume 7.46M * 1045 = ~$7.8B on day, so 20-day average >$20M easily. Continuation up thesis based on AI optics scarcity.
AVGO
Top large-cap loser Oct 1 despite AI theme. Closed $343.64 down -2.15% per Intellectia movers table. Catalyst is mixed speculative concern about $42B lending to Anthropic for chip leasing reported by 【entity-Reuters¦canonical_name=Reuters】 raising circular financing risk, not fundamental chip demand. Finnhub current price 356.81 up +3.83% on Oct 2 shows early reversal. Previous session decline was modest vs high beta, so reversal up is likely as market digests financing as non-dilutive and memory shortage thesis supports. Market cap 1.64T per stockanalysis and Finnhub. Reference price is latest Finnhub current price Oct 2.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Average directional return | Directions called correctly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 3 Pro | ACN, SNPS, FICO, PSKY, NKE | -0.71% | 40% |
| Perplexity | ACN, SNPS, COHR, NKE, STX | -1.94% | 40% |
| GPT-5.6 Sol | ACN, SNPS, NKTR, PSKY, MAT | -2.24% | 40% |
| Grok 4.5 | SYNA, STX, NKE, ACN, WDC | -2.16% | 40% |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | SNPS, LQDA, TEM, VICR, ACN | +0.06% | 40% |
| DeepSeek | ACN, SNPS, VICR, NU, LQDA | +1.97% | 40% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Extreme Movers: Muse Spark 1.1's picks for 2026-10-02.
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