Extreme Movers: DeepSeek's picks for 2026-10-29
DeepSeek picked FFIV, CHRW, ORCL, FLEX, VRT for a 1-day horizon. Average directional return: +1.16%. Directions called correctly: 60%.
| Experiment | Extreme Movers |
|---|---|
| Model | DeepSeek |
| Prompt version | extreme-movers-v11 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-10-29 |
| Measured to | 2026-10-30 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Average directional return | +1.16% |
| Directions called correctly | 60% |
| Benchmark return | -1.03% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Direction | Price change | Return in the called direction | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FFIV | down | -3.29% | +3.29% | 70% | +4.32% | Yes |
| 2 | CHRW | down | +1.37% | -1.37% | 65% | -0.34% | No |
| 3 | ORCL | down | -4.30% | +4.30% | 64% | +5.33% | Yes |
| 4 | FLEX | down | -1.44% | +1.44% | 62% | +2.47% | Yes |
| 5 | VRT | up | -1.85% | -1.85% | 58% | -0.82% | No |
The model's market view
US equities enter the 29 October session after a 28 October advance led by AI infrastructure and semiconductor earnings. The source-session winners are already dispersing: VRT is holding most of its post-earnings gain, while FLEX and ORCL are giving back part of their one-day pops. Among losers, FFIV and CHRW show little rebound, consistent with post-guidance pressure. I therefore favor continuation in fundamentally negative earnings reactions and in VRT, but reversal and profit-taking in two extended positive gaps.
Why each pick
FFIV
FFIV was the weakest S&P 500 name on 28 October, falling 20.43% after fiscal 2027 revenue-growth guidance of 8% to 9% disappointed and Piper Sandler downgraded the shares. The catalyst is substantive because it changes the forward growth and analyst-recommendation picture. The live quote at 09:47 ET on 29 October was $358.72, down 1.86% from the source close, with no meaningful bounce. I expect post-guidance continuation down. Risk: the one-day selloff was already extreme, and a technical rebound could lift the stock; the 52-week range is wide. Market cap is the intraday Yahoo figure and average dollar volume is the 20-day average share volume multiplied by the live quote.
CHRW
CHRW fell 11.14% on 28 October despite beating EPS and revenue estimates, as investors focused on higher costs, weaker free cash flow and working-capital pressure tied to higher transportation rates. The stock closed near a 52-week low, and the catalyst is substantive because it concerns earnings quality and cash generation rather than a one-off headline. The live quote at 09:48 ET on 29 October was $125.78, down 1.43% from the source close, showing no meaningful dip-buying yet. I expect continuation down. Risk: deep-value buyers or a broad transport rally could produce a rebound, especially with the stock already depressed. Market cap is the intraday Yahoo figure and average dollar volume is the 20-day average share volume multiplied by the live quote.
ORCL
ORCL rose 10.73% on 28 October after setting FY30 targets of more than $225B in revenue and $21+ in EPS and outlining a path to positive free cash flow. The catalyst is substantive, but the source-session move was a large one-day re-rating, and after-hours trading was already about 2.4% lower. The live quote at 09:53 ET on 29 October was $140.42, down 2.72% from the source close, consistent with a sell-the-news reversal. I therefore expect reversal down relative to the 28 October gain. Risk: continued analyst upgrades or renewed AI-cloud momentum could stabilize the shares and push them back above the source close. Market cap is the intraday Yahoo figure and average dollar volume is the 20-day average share volume multiplied by the live quote.
FLEX
FLEX jumped 11.61% on 28 October after record fiscal Q2 EPS of $1.18 on $8.5B of revenue and a raised FY27 outlook. The catalyst is substantive and fundamentally positive, but the next-session tape is reversing: the live quote at 09:49 ET on 29 October was $89.43, down 3.87% from the source close, giving back a meaningful part of the earnings pop. I expect reversal down as short-term holders lock in gains and the initial gap is sold. Risk: dip buyers could defend the high-$80s and push the stock back above the source close. Market cap is the intraday Yahoo figure and average dollar volume is the 20-day average share volume multiplied by the live quote.
VRT
VRT was the top S&P 500 gainer on 28 October, rising 16.48% after Q3 revenue increased 61%, orders more than doubled and management sharply raised full-year revenue and EPS guidance. The catalyst is substantive and supports post-earnings continuation up. The live quote at 09:53 ET on 29 October was $241.86, only 0.51% below the source close, showing the market is holding the gap rather than rejecting it. Risk: the AI-power trade is crowded, and broad profit-taking could push VRT below the source close by the target close. Market cap is the intraday Yahoo figure and average dollar volume is the 20-day average share volume multiplied by the live quote.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Average directional return | Directions called correctly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Perplexity | VRT, ORCL, FLEX, FFIV, LPLA | -0.86% | 20% |
| Grok 4.7 | VRT, AXGN, ORCL, FFIV, ENPH | -2.44% | 0% |
| Claude Sonnet 5.5 | FFIV, VRT, EAT, LSTR, ENPH | -0.08% | 40% |
| Gemini 3.6 Flash High | NVDA, TSLA, AMD, AMZN, PLTR | -2.13% | 40% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | VRT, FFIV, ORCL, CSGP, CHRW | +1.27% | 60% |
| GPT-6 | FFIV, FLEX, LH, VRT, CSGP | +1.51% | 60% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Extreme Movers: DeepSeek's picks for 2026-10-29.
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