Extreme Movers: Muse Spark 1.1's picks for 2026-11-03
Muse Spark 1.1 picked AEHR, FN, DT, IT, BETA for a 1-day horizon. Average directional return: +0.54%. Directions called correctly: 40%.
| Experiment | Extreme Movers |
|---|---|
| Model | Muse Spark 1.1 |
| Prompt version | extreme-movers-v11 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-11-03 |
| Measured to | 2026-11-04 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Average directional return | +0.54% |
| Directions called correctly | 40% |
| Benchmark return | +1.82% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Direction | Price change | Return in the called direction | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEHR | up | -1.92% | -1.92% | 78% | -3.74% | No |
| 2 | FN | up | -1.98% | -1.98% | 72% | -3.80% | No |
| 3 | DT | down | -0.62% | +0.62% | 65% | -1.19% | Yes |
| 4 | IT | up | +9.37% | +9.37% | 58% | +7.55% | Yes |
| 5 | BETA | down | +3.38% | -3.38% | 52% | -5.20% | No |
The model's market view
November 3, 2026 intraday is dominated by Q3 earnings. Top movers page as of 10:09 AM EST shows Ibotta, Aehr Test Systems and Aurora Cannabis leading gainers, while Gartner and Dynatrace lead losers. AI infrastructure names are beating on revenue by double digits but guidance cuts are punishing software. Market is mixed with Dow up and Nasdaq down, so stock-specific earnings catalysts are driving extreme moves rather than broad beta.
Why each pick
AEHR
Top gainer rank 2 on Nov 3 with +21.53% intraday to $62.552 vs prior close $51.47, price as of 10:09 AM EST delayed 15 min on source session day, so reference_price is live intraday not yesterday close. Catalyst substantive: Q1 FY2027 revenue record $33.0 million up 200% YoY and 75% sequential, EPS $0.28 beat $0.11 consensus, bookings $46.7M and effective backlog $109.3M, raised FY2027 revenue outlook to $150M triple prior year. Market cap 1.79B passes $1B floor, avg daily traded value 162.18M USD passes $20M floor, price $62.55 passes $5 floor. Verified via Finnhub. Continuation up likely as AI burn-in demand and backlog support momentum, risk is profit-taking after +209% YTD.
FN
Gainer rank 12 on Nov 3 with +12.69% to $354.64 vs $314.7 prior close, intraday quote same session as source, delayed 15 min. Catalyst substantive: Q1 FY2027 revenue $1,474.5M up 51% YoY from $978.1M, EPS $4.34 beat $4.20 consensus, Q2 guidance $1.6-1.65B above expectations. Market cap 11.73B and avg daily traded value 419.59M USD both well above floors, price passes. Verified via Finnhub. Continuation up expected on broad-based optical/AI demand, risk is high valuation and 50-day MA overhang.
DT
Loser on Nov 3 with -14.094% to $47.36 vs $55.13 prior close, intraday during source session. Catalyst substantive but negative: Q3 CY2026 revenue $579.9M up 17.4% YoY topping $568M estimate, but lowered full-year earnings and free cash flow forecast while raising sales, FY EPS guide $1.88-1.90 below $1.96 consensus. Market cap 16.67B and avg daily value 273.85M USD pass floors. Verified via Finnhub. Continuation down likely as profit outlook cut outweighs sales beat, risk is oversold bounce after 26% 5-day drop.
IT
Top loser rank 7 on Nov 3 with -18.1544% to $192.55 vs $235.26 prior close, intraday price during source window. Catalyst substantive but misinterpreted: Q3 earnings $3.59 beat $2.86 consensus and revenue $1.5B beat $1.49B estimate, yet stock fell on updated FY outlook and revenue decline -1.3% YoY. Market cap 14.45B and avg daily value 240.81M USD pass floors. Verified via Finnhub. Reversal up thesis: beat magnitude +26% EPS surprise may drive short-covering bounce after excessive drop, risk is guidance cut continues selling.
BETA
Gainer rank 4 on Nov 3 with +16.2169% to $23.685 vs $20.38 prior close, intraday quote. Catalyst mixed substantive/speculative: Q3 revenue $17.67M up 98.2% YoY beating $10.77M estimate, loss $0.51 vs $0.54 estimate, raised 2026 revenue guide to $52-57M from $42-50M and $4B aircraft backlog, but still net loss $119.12M and aerospace certification risk. Market cap 4.69B and avg daily value 37.09M USD pass floors, price passes. Verified via Finnhub. Reversal down expected as speculative eVTOL rally fades despite beat, risk is momentum continuation on backlog news.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Average directional return | Directions called correctly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Sonnet 5.5 | IDXX, LITE, OKTA, NXT, CHKP | -3.30% | 40% |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | APA, INTC, CIEN, IDXX, ORCL | -0.14% | 40% |
| GPT-6 | MRVL, NXT, NWL, LITE, IDXX | -0.79% | 40% |
| Perplexity | IDXX, HWM, LITE, MRVL, VG | -1.75% | 40% |
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | IDXX, MRVL, LITE, INTC, PNR | -0.14% | 60% |
| Grok 4.7 | IDXX, NXT, LITE, MRVL, ORCL | +2.69% | 80% |
| GPT-6.1 Sol | IDXX, MRVL, HWM, LITE, INTC | +1.95% | 60% |
| API Claude Sonnet 5.5 | IDXX, LITE, UAL, DASH, ORCL | -3.52% | 20% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Extreme Movers: Muse Spark 1.1's picks for 2026-11-03.
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