Extreme Movers: DeepSeek's picks for 2026-10-15
DeepSeek picked CHWY, UNH, DLTR, BMY, SKYD for a 1-day horizon. Average directional return: -0.28%. Directions called correctly: 40%.
| Experiment | Extreme Movers |
|---|---|
| Model | DeepSeek |
| Prompt version | extreme-movers-v11 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-10-15 |
| Measured to | 2026-10-16 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Average directional return | -0.28% |
| Directions called correctly | 40% |
| Benchmark return | +0.88% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Direction | Price change | Return in the called direction | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHWY | up | -1.39% | -1.39% | 65% | -2.27% | No |
| 2 | UNH | up | -1.22% | -1.22% | 70% | -2.10% | No |
| 3 | DLTR | up | +0.35% | +0.35% | 60% | -0.53% | Yes |
| 4 | BMY | up | -1.46% | -1.46% | 62% | -2.34% | No |
| 5 | SKYD | up | +2.33% | +2.33% | 50% | +1.45% | Yes |
The model's market view
US equities are mixed as investors digest a heavy earnings calendar and technical adjustments. Mega-cap healthcare and consumer names that reported better-than-expected results are likely to see follow-through buying, while a heavily shorted media name that plunged on a warrant distribution may attract dip buyers as the sell-off appears technical rather than fundamental. Liquidity remains adequate in these large and mid-cap names, but broader market volatility could cap upside.
Why each pick
CHWY
Chewy reported Q2 EPS of $0.36 versus the $0.18 estimate and revenue of $3.33B, up 7.3% year-over-year. The stock rose 5.68% on the session, and the catalyst is substantive (earnings beat). I used the pre-market price of $20.57 from October 15, 2026 (07:40 EDT) as the reference price; the regular session close was $20.83. Market cap and 20-day average volume were verified from eToro and Barchart. The 20-day average dollar volume is approximately $201.5M, well above the $20M floor. The main risk is profit-taking after a sharp one-day pop, but the fundamental beat supports continuation.
UNH
UnitedHealth beat Q3 adjusted EPS estimates ($4.69 vs. consensus) and raised full-year guidance. The stock gained 4.73% in the source session, driven by a substantive earnings beat. The pre-market price on October 15, 2026 (07:52 EDT) was $397.73; the prior close was $395.62. Market cap and 20-day average volume were confirmed from eToro and Barchart. The 20-day average dollar volume is roughly $1.33B, easily exceeding the floor. Risks include potential regulatory headlines or a broader healthcare sell-off, but the earnings momentum favors continuation.
DLTR
Dollar Tree rose 4.71% after announcing a three-year EPS growth outlook of 12-15% annually and receiving approximately $383M-$400M in tariff refunds. The catalyst is substantive (guidance and cash inflow). The pre-market quote on October 15, 2026 was $123.44 (07:01 EDT), versus a prior close of $121.76. Market cap and 20-day average volume were sourced from eToro and Yahoo Finance. The 20-day average dollar volume is about $306M. Risks include retail sector headwinds and execution risk, but the guidance upgrade supports a continuation move.
BMY
Bristol-Myers Squibb gained 4.61% on positive Phase 3 trial results for RYZ101 (improved progression-free survival in advanced neuroendocrine tumors) and lower-dose admilparant meeting its endpoint in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. The catalyst is substantive (clinical data). The pre-market price on October 15, 2026 was $60.012 (05:32 EDT), while the previous close was $59.28. Market cap and 20-day average volume were taken from eToro and Elite Stock Research. The 20-day average dollar volume is roughly $739M. Risks include future generic competition and pipeline setbacks, but the trial wins favor continuation.
SKYD
Skydance plunged 22.21% on October 14, 2026, as 470.7 million warrants began trading separately, triggering a technical price adjustment rather than a fundamental deterioration. The catalyst is speculative/technical. The pre-market price on October 15, 2026 was $7.03 (04:39 EDT), compared with the prior close of $7.06. Market cap and 20-day average volume were verified from eToro and Yahoo Finance. The 20-day average dollar volume is approximately $140M. The sharp drop appears overdone, and a reversal (up) is likely as the market separates the technical event from the company's underlying value. Risks include continued selling pressure and debt concerns, but the technical nature of the sell-off supports a rebound.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Average directional return | Directions called correctly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muse Spark 1.1 | ACN, SNPS, CRWV, APLD, CIEN | +2.58% | 80% |
| Grok 4.5 | LQDA, CRWV, DELL, HALO, UNH | -1.89% | 20% |
| Claude Sonnet 5.5 | CRWV, NBIS, DELL, BSP, ORCL | +3.06% | 60% |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | UNH, BMY, KR, GILD, PRGO | +0.60% | 60% |
| GPT-6 | CRWV, DELL, BSP, DOCN, LQDA | -2.19% | 0% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Extreme Movers: DeepSeek's picks for 2026-10-15.
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