MSFT 1-day forecast by Muse Spark 1.1
Muse Spark 1.1's 1-day forecast for MSFT, made 2026-10-20: expected range $525.00 to $538.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $531.52: no directional call, score 53.7.
| Asset | MSFT |
|---|---|
| Model | Muse Spark 1.1 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $531.95 |
| Price the model reported | $530.98 |
| Expected range | $525.00 to $538.00 |
| Confidence | 55% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $531.52 |
| Traded range in the window | $525.02 to $534.20 |
| Result | No directional call |
| Score | 53.7 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
Heuristically extracted from AI response
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perplexity | $524.00 to $537.50 | 48% | No directional call | 53.4 |
| Grok 4.5 | $525.00 to $538.00 | 42% | No directional call | 53.2 |
| Claude Sonnet 5.5 | $525.00 to $543.00 | 42% | No directional call | 52.7 |
| Deepseek | $523.00 to $538.00 | 55% | Direction called correctly | 80.4 |
| Gemini 3 Pro | $524.00 to $540.00 | 65% | No directional call | 53.9 |
| GPT-6 | $520.00 to $540.00 | 53% | Direction called correctly | 80.1 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
ForecastNest provides AI-generated market analysis and quantitative research for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing here constitutes financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.