IONQ 1-day forecast by Muse Spark 1.1
Muse Spark 1.1's 1-day forecast for IONQ, made 2026-09-28: expected range $44.00 to $49.00 at 64% confidence. Settled at $44.13: direction called incorrectly, score 13.2.
| Asset | IONQ |
|---|---|
| Model | Muse Spark 1.1 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $46.97 |
| Price the model reported | $45.82 |
| Expected range | $44.00 to $49.00 |
| Confidence | 64% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $44.13 |
| Traded range in the window | $43.86 to $47.43 |
| Result | Direction called incorrectly |
| Score | 13.2 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub live quote Sep 28 shows IONQ $45.82 current, open $45.64 high $47.91 low $45.5 previous close $45.48 up. CoinCentral Sep 28 notes BofA initiated Buy with $60 target, stock near $45.48 up 1%. VMVirtualMachine Sep 27 reports three Superion 256 systems placed Sep 21-24 with SDT, NVIDIA Accelerated Quantum Research Center, and Florida International University.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: Quantum sector momentum strong. IONQ 5-day +17.1% and 1-month +16.89% and 6-month +66.56% per Finnhub, outperforming despite YTD +2.12% and 1-year -28.7% base. Sector tailwind from NVIDIA partnership and BofA coverage driving accumulation.
(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: Recent daily range $45.5-$47.91 ~$2.4, ATR elevated due to quantum beta. Lower bound $44 near previous close support and 4% below current, upper bound $49 near BofA path and above intraday high, asymmetric bullish with more upside room reflecting catalyst momentum.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: Superion placements announcements and BofA initiation are fresh catalysts Sep 27-28. No earnings in 1-day window but quantum computing conference headlines likely. NVIDIA research center installation is high visibility.
(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: Bear case is high valuation at 5.4x EV/S on 2030 revenue per BofA and history of volatility, plus broader tech yield pressure could trigger profit taking after 17% 5-day run. Invalidation would be close below $44 with volume spike and break of $45.48 support.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: 64% based on live price confirmation, concrete near-term catalysts within 48 hours, and strong momentum metrics from Finnhub. Confidence not higher because quantum stocks are highly volatile and 1-day move is still noise-dominated despite bullish setup.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perplexity | $43.80 to $47.90 | 60% | Direction called incorrectly | 9.1 |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | $44.40 to $51.20 | 32% | Direction called incorrectly | 8.0 |
| Grok 4.5 | $43.50 to $49.00 | 45% | Direction called incorrectly | 14.7 |
| DeepSeek | $43.50 to $48.00 | 55% | Direction called incorrectly | 9.8 |
| Gemini 3 Pro | $44.50 to $48.50 | 58% | Direction called incorrectly | 6.2 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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