NVDA 1-day forecast by Perplexity
Perplexity's 1-day forecast for NVDA, made 2026-09-25: expected range $222.00 to $230.00 at 54% confidence. Settled at $229.25: direction called incorrectly, score 31.1.
| Asset | NVDA |
|---|---|
| Model | Perplexity |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $224.39 |
| Price the model reported | $226.48 |
| Expected range | $222.00 to $230.00 |
| Confidence | 54% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $229.25 |
| Traded range in the window | $223.31 to $233.21 |
| Result | Direction called incorrectly |
| Score | 31.1 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) Market regime: NVDA was quoted at $226.48 at 9:36 AM ET on September 25, 2026, versus a September 24 close of $224.58. The prior session ranged from $221.09 to $224.94, so the stock is opening above the previous close but remains close to its recent trading band. Source: CNN market quote, https://www.cnn.com/markets/stocks/NVDA; historical data source, https://www.perplexity.ai/finance/NVDA/historical-data.
(2) Technical synthesis: The immediate signal is mildly positive because price is above the prior close and has recovered from the previous session low. However, the one-day range and the absence of a confirmed breakout above recent highs support neutral readings over 4h and 1d rather than a strong directional call.
(3) Price range: The one-day range of $222-$230 is anchored to the live $226.48 quote, with the lower bound near the prior session’s $221.09 low and the upper bound above the prior session’s $224.94 high to allow for normal intraday expansion. This implies modest upside asymmetry, but not a high-conviction breakout forecast.
(4) Catalysts: Recent NVIDIA newsroom items include a September 24 collaboration with Palantir on sovereign AI supply chains and an announcement concerning expansion of the open-source CUDA-Q platform. NVIDIA also reported $96.2 billion in fiscal second-quarter revenue, up 106% year over year, according to the company’s newsroom archive. Sources: https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/latest and https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-announces-financial-results-for-fourth-quarter-fiscal-2026.
(5) Counter-argument: The strongest bearish case is that the opening gain fades after a weak prior session, especially if the stock fails to hold above $224.58 or revisits the $221 area. The mildly bullish view would be invalidated by a decisive break below the prior-session low; conversely, sustained trade above $230 would indicate stronger momentum than this forecast assumes.
(6) Confidence: Confidence is 54% because the live quote and recent range support a slight near-term upside bias, while the one-day horizon is highly sensitive to market-wide moves and headline volatility. The longer-horizon bullish signals reflect strong reported growth and favorable analyst commentary, including a reported forward P/E near 24 and sharply higher earnings expectations, but those factors have limited predictive power for a single trading day. Source: Zacks, https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2995592/market-edge-highlights-mcdonalds-sandisk-and-nvidia.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | $220.50 to $229.25 | 58% | Direction called correctly | 80.4 |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | $221.50 to $227.00 | 42% | Direction called incorrectly | 11.2 |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $221.00 to $228.00 | 65% | No directional call | 51.8 |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | $219.00 to $232.50 | 52% | No directional call | 52.3 |
| Grok 4.5 | $218.00 to $232.00 | 45% | No directional call | 52.0 |
| DeepSeek | $222.00 to $232.00 | 62% | Direction called correctly | 82.1 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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