SOXL 1-day forecast by Muse Spark 1.1
Muse Spark 1.1's 1-day forecast for SOXL, made 2026-09-09: expected range $115.00 to $132.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $125.91: direction called correctly, score 79.9.
| Asset | SOXL |
|---|---|
| Model | Muse Spark 1.1 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $123.35 |
| Price the model reported | $123.27 |
| Expected range | $115.00 to $132.00 |
| Confidence | 57% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $125.91 |
| Traded range in the window | $122.58 to $128.48 |
| Result | Direction called correctly |
| Score | 79.9 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub shows SOXL current price $123.27, open $125.12, high $127.54, low $121.6, previous close $117.28, change +$5.99 +5.1074% Sep 8. Kraken shows $123.57 last updated Sep 8 2:06 PM, previous close $117.53, 52-week $26.57-$302, market cap $21.59B, volume 51.9M. FT.com confirms $123.27 as of Sep 08 21:00 BST. YCharts shows total return $123.39 Sep 8. Direxion site NAV $112.87 Aug 31 then $122.23 Aug 20 indicating uptrend.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: SOXL 3x semi bull is bouncing sharply +5.1% Sep 8 after Sep 4 pullback on hot jobs/yields. Underlying semis: SNDK +11.9%, CBRS +10.3%, AEHR +13% Sep 4 per earlier data, and memory stocks leading. 1-year +355% per Finnhub shows strong bull regime, but high beta 5.94 implies volatility.
(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: Anchored at $123.27, range $115-$132 skews slightly up ($8.73 upside vs $8.27 downside) for mild bullish continuation. Lower $115 near previous close $117.28 support, upper $132 near recent high $127.54 plus 3x leverage extension. Daily ATR for 3x product ~6-8% justifies ~$8-9 band.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: Sep 9 continuation of semiconductor momentum, AI infra capex headlines (Broadcom AI guide $21.7B), memory pricing strength. No specific SOXL dividend in window, but underlying NVDA/AVGO sentiment drives.
(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: Yield spike from hot jobs could pressure growth semis, and 3x decay risk if underlying reverses. SOXL 52-week high $302 shows prior blow-off risk. Invalidation is close below $115 with SOX down and SNDK profit-taking.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: Confidence 57% moderate due to strong Sep 8 bounce +5.1% and semi leadership (SNDK, CBRS), but tempered by high beta and rate sensitivity. 30d bullish on intact AI cycle, 1d mild bullish for continuation.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | $111.00 to $128.00 | 70% | Direction called incorrectly | 24.7 |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $117.00 to $129.50 | 65% | No directional call | 52.3 |
| Grok 4.5 | $115.00 to $132.00 | 36% | Direction called correctly | 78.1 |
| DeepSeek V3 | $110.00 to $132.00 | 52% | Direction called incorrectly | 29.4 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $115.50 to $131.50 | 38% | No directional call | 50.8 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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