CEG 1-day forecast by Muse Spark 1.1
Muse Spark 1.1's 1-day forecast for CEG, made 2026-09-09: expected range $292.00 to $307.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $293.98: direction called incorrectly, score 30.6.
| Asset | CEG |
|---|---|
| Model | Muse Spark 1.1 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $298.96 |
| Price the model reported | $299.05 |
| Expected range | $292.00 to $307.00 |
| Confidence | 58% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $293.98 |
| Traded range in the window | $292.75 to $298.02 |
| Result | Direction called incorrectly |
| Score | 30.6 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub shows CEG current price $299.05, open $303.998, high $305.8, low $296.63, previous close $298.96. MacroTrends confirms latest close Sep 08, 2026 is $299.05, all-time high $401.70 Oct 15, 2025. WallStreetZen shows $298.96 as of Sep 4, market cap $105.92B. Upstox shows $299.24 +0.11% last updated Sep 9 01:29 IST. 5-day +8.06%, 1-month +10.8% per Finnhub, YTD -15.35%.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: CEG is bouncing from summer lows $265-280 range noted in Barchart earnings preview Aug 5. Utilities were only green sector Sep 4 per earlier market wrap, supporting defensive nuclear leader. Nuclear/AI power demand narrative remains intact despite YTD underperformance.
(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: Anchored at $299.05, range $292-$307 skews slightly up ($7.95 upside vs $7.05 downside) for mild bullish 1-day. Upper bound $307 just above intraday high $305.8, lower bound $292 near prior support $296.63 low and 2% pullback. Daily ATR ~2.5% supports band. 5-day strength suggests momentum continuation.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: No earnings in 1-day window; board chairman transition announced Aug 5 per Barchart. Broader catalysts: oil/energy strength, AI data center power deals, and yield moves. Sep 9 session follows holiday and jobs-driven yield spike, but utilities showing relative strength.
(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: Higher yields from hot jobs report pressure utility valuations due to duration, and CEG already up 8% 5-day may face profit-taking. Invalidation is close below $292 with heavy volume and sector rotation out of defensives.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: Confidence 58% moderate due to clear near-term momentum (+8% 5-day, +10.8% 1-month) and defensive bid, but tempered by YTD -15% downtrend from ATH $401.70 and rate sensitivity. Short-term signals align bullish but 7d/30d neutral.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | $292.00 to $310.00 | 73% | Direction called incorrectly | 31.3 |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $299.00 to $307.00 | 60% | Direction called incorrectly | 0.0 |
| Grok 4.5 | $288.00 to $308.00 | 37% | No directional call | 51.5 |
| DeepSeek V3 | $290.00 to $310.00 | 60% | Direction called incorrectly | 30.9 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $287.00 to $303.50 | 41% | Direction called correctly | 79.9 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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