MSTR 1-day forecast by Grok 4.5
Grok 4.5's 1-day forecast for MSTR, made 2026-09-06: expected range $130.00 to $155.00 at 36% confidence. Settled at $136.54: direction called correctly, score 77.8.
| Asset | MSTR |
|---|---|
| Model | Grok 4.5 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $142.71 |
| Price the model reported | $142.80 |
| Expected range | $130.00 to $155.00 |
| Confidence | 36% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $136.54 |
| Traded range in the window | $135.38 to $139.31 |
| Result | Direction called correctly |
| Score | 77.8 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: Friday 4 Sep 2026 close was $142.80 (down 1.39% from Thursday’s $144.82), day range $137.07-$144.40, volume ~26-27M, per StockAnalysis, MarketWatch, Motley Fool, Morningstar and FinanceCharts. After-hours held near $142.58. Markets remain closed over the weekend; this is the last official print. 52-week range $81.81-$365.21.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: Mild pullback after Thursday’s sharp rebound, with MSTR consolidating recent gains. As a high-beta Bitcoin proxy the stock continues to track crypto volatility and broader risk appetite in speculative names.
(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: Anchored to the $142.80 Friday close. Recent daily ranges of $7-17 and elevated beta support a next-session window of roughly ±8-10%. Lower bound near $130 allows for a deeper giveback; upper bound near $155 covers extension of the prior rebound. Range is roughly balanced given the neutral close.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: Markets reopen Monday 7 Sep. Overnight Bitcoin price action, residual positioning or any crypto-related headlines will be the primary potential drivers. No company-specific earnings expected in the immediate next session.
(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: A sharp risk-off move in Bitcoin or broader markets could push MSTR below $130; stronger crypto momentum could drive a break above $155. Sustained trade outside the stated range would overturn the neutral near-term stance.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: Live Friday close is confirmed, yet high-volatility Bitcoin-proxy names produce large noise on single-day horizons; weekend gap risk and crypto dependence keep conviction moderate-to-low.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | $128.00 to $154.00 | 70% | Direction called correctly | 81.9 |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $138.00 to $147.00 | 85% | No directional call | 51.9 |
| DeepSeek-R1 | $130.00 to $148.00 | 50% | Direction called correctly | 31.8 |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | $136.00 to $148.50 | 53% | Direction called correctly | 80.0 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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