IONQ 7-day forecast by Grok 4.5
Grok 4.5's 7-day forecast for IONQ, made 2026-09-04: expected range $35.00 to $45.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $36.75: direction called incorrectly, score 30.9.
| Asset | IONQ |
|---|---|
| Model | Grok 4.5 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 7-day (Existing Mode 1 horizon rules apply; the stored expiry is authoritative.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $39.52 |
| Price the model reported | $39.52 |
| Expected range | $35.00 to $45.00 |
| Confidence | 40% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $36.75 |
| Traded range in the window | $36.33 to $44.43 |
| Result | Direction called incorrectly |
| Score | 30.9 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: Friday 4 Sep 2026 close was $39.52 (up 1.28% from Thursday’s $39.02), day range $38.83-$39.73, volume ~12.8-13M, per Yahoo Finance, StockAnalysis, ChartExchange, MarketWatch and KTTC. After-hours held near $39.70-$39.75. Prior closes: 3 Sep $39.02, 2 Sep $37.64. 52-week range $25.89-$84.64.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: Continued modest rebound for the high-beta quantum-computing name, building on Thursday’s gain. Price action remains contained within a recent consolidation range while tracking broader risk appetite in speculative growth stocks.
(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: Anchored to the $39.52 Friday close. Recent daily ranges of $1.5-$3+ and beta ~3.3 support potential weekly moves of 10-15%. Lower bound near $35 allows for a retest of early-September lows; upper bound near $45 covers extension toward late-August levels. Range is roughly balanced with a mild upside bias from the recent recovery.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: No company-specific earnings or major filings expected in the immediate 7-day horizon (next earnings estimated early November). Broader market direction and any quantum-sector news remain the primary potential drivers.
(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: A sharp risk-off move in growth/tech could push IONQ below $35; stronger continuation of the rebound could drive a break above $45. Sustained trade outside the stated range would overturn the mild bullish lean.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: Live Friday close is confirmed and the short-term direction is constructive, yet high-volatility speculative names produce large noise over multi-day horizons; absence of stock-specific catalysts keeps conviction moderate.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Luna | $35.00 to $45.50 | 79% | Direction called incorrectly | 30.8 |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $35.00 to $45.00 | 65% | Direction called incorrectly | 30.9 |
| DeepSeek-R1 | $36.50 to $44.50 | 52% | Direction called incorrectly | 32.2 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $34.30 to $43.70 | 37% | Direction called correctly | 78.8 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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