IONQ 1-day forecast by Grok 4.5
Grok 4.5's 1-day forecast for IONQ, made 2026-09-03: expected range $36.50 to $41.50 at 40% confidence. Settled at $39.52: no directional call, score 50.9.
| Asset | IONQ |
|---|---|
| Model | Grok 4.5 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $39.05 |
| Price the model reported | $39.02 |
| Expected range | $36.50 to $41.50 |
| Confidence | 40% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $39.52 |
| Traded range in the window | $38.82 to $39.73 |
| Result | No directional call |
| Score | 50.9 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: Thursday 3 Sep 2026 close was $39.02 (up 3.67% from Wednesday’s $37.64), day range $37.84-$39.78, volume ~13.7M, per Yahoo Finance, StockAnalysis, Stocknear, ChartExchange and KTTC. After-hours held near $39.11-$39.36. Prior closes: 2 Sep $37.64, 1 Sep $37.78.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: Rebound session for the high-beta quantum-computing name, tracking the broader market’s strength. Price recovered from recent softness and closed near the day’s highs, reflecting improved risk appetite in speculative growth stocks.
(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: Anchored to the $39.02 Thursday close. Recent daily ranges of $1.5-$3+ and beta ~3.3 support potential 1-day moves of 5-8%. Lower bound near $36.50 allows for a retest of recent lows; upper bound near $41.50 covers continuation toward prior-week levels. Range is modestly wider on the upside reflecting the rebound momentum.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: No company-specific events or earnings for Friday 4 Sep. Broader market follow-through and any overnight macro or geopolitical developments remain the primary potential drivers; next earnings estimated early November.
(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: A sharp risk-off reversal could push IONQ below $36.50; stronger continuation of the rebound could drive a break above $41.50. Sustained trade outside the stated range would overturn the mild bullish lean.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: Live Thursday close is confirmed and the session direction is constructive, yet single-day forecasts for high-volatility speculative names remain noise-dominated; absence of stock-specific catalysts keeps conviction moderate.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Luna | $36.50 to $40.75 | 74% | Direction called incorrectly | 31.1 |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $37.50 to $41.00 | 65% | Direction called correctly | 81.1 |
| DeepSeek-R1 | $37.00 to $42.00 | 48% | Direction called correctly | 79.2 |
| Claude Sonnet 5 | $36.20 to $42.10 | 40% | Direction called correctly | 78.3 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $36.00 to $42.00 | 41% | No directional call | 50.7 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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